FiveThirtyEight
UPDATED MAR 31 AT 12:15 PM
2017 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
Standings
Upcoming games
AVG. SIMULATED SEASONPOSTSEASON CHANCES
TEAMDIVISIONRATING1-WEEK CHANGERECORDRUN DIFF.MAKE PLAYOFFSWIN
DIVISIONWIN WORLD SERIES
Cubs
Cubs0-0
NL CENTRAL157298-64+15884%70%14%
Dodgers
Dodgers0-0
NL WEST155695-67+13077%58%11%
Indians
Indians0-0
AL CENTRAL155494-68+11775%63%11%
Astros
Astros0-0
AL WEST154590-72+7961%40%8%
Nationals
Nationals0-0
NL EAST154392-70+9768%49%7%
Red Sox
Red Sox0-0
AL EAST153688-74+6154%35%6%
Mariners
Mariners0-0
AL WEST152986-76+4848%27%5%
Giants
Giants0-0
NL WEST152788-74+6453%28%5%
Mets
Mets0-0
NL EAST152687-75+5551%30%4%
Blue Jays
Blue Jays0-0
AL EAST152284-78+2740%24%4%
Rangers
Rangers0-0
AL WEST151181-81+532%15%3%
Rays
Rays0-0
AL EAST150881-81-529%16%3%
Tigers
Tigers0-0
AL CENTRAL150682-80+1034%19%3%
Yankees
Yankees0-0
AL EAST150680-82-1127%14%2%
Cardinals
Cardinals0-0
NL CENTRAL150481-81+431%12%2%
Pirates
Pirates0-0
NL CENTRAL150381-81-328%11%2%
Angels
Angels0-0
AL WEST150379-83-2024%11%2%
Marlins
Marlins0-0
NL EAST150080-82-627%13%2%
Orioles
Orioles0-0
AL EAST149878-84-2822%11%2%
Athletics
Athletics0-0
AL WEST148775-87-5515%7%1%
Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks0-0
NL WEST148376-86-4317%6%<1%
Rockies
Rockies0-0
NL WEST148075-87-5215%6%<1%
Royals
Royals0-0
AL CENTRAL147674-88-6513%6%<1%
Twins
Twins0-0
AL CENTRAL147674-88-6014%7%<1%
Brewers
Brewers0-0
NL CENTRAL147674-88-6213%4%<1%
Braves
Braves0-0
NL EAST147574-88-6413%6%<1%
White Sox
White Sox0-0
AL CENTRAL147373-89-7412%6%<1%
Reds
Reds0-0
NL CENTRAL146672-90-879%3%<1%
Phillies
Phillies0-0
NL EAST145970-92-1037%3%<1%
Padres
Padres0-0
NL WEST145068-94-1166%2%<1%
Forecast from
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
By Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek