2018 World Cup Predictions
Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings and chances of advancing for every team, updating live
Which World Cup Team Should You Root For?ESPN Coverage
Standings
Matches
Bracket
Uruguay 0 pts.A79.52.30.643%31%75%29%13%5%2%
Russia 0 pts.A71.62.10.838%32%71%25%11%4%1%
Egypt 0 pts.A63.41.70.913%23%35%7%2%<1%<1% Saudi Arabia 0 pts.A53.41.61.36%14%20%2%<1%<1%<1% Spain 0 pts.B91.53.20.559%26%86%69%46%28%17% Portugal 0 pts.B83.82.40.528%40%68%46%25%12%6% Morocco 0 pts.B72.51.90.78%20%29%14%5%2%<1% Iran 0 pts.B65.81.60.74%14%18%8%3%1%<1% France 0 pts.C87.12.90.662%24%86%54%32%16%9% Denmark 0 pts.C74.52.20.821%36%57%24%10%3%1% Peru 0 pts.C70.82.00.813%26%38%13%4%1%<1% Australia 0 pts.C61.51.81.14%15%19%5%1%<1%<1% Argentina 0 pts.D86.72.50.445%29%74%46%24%12%6% Croatia 0 pts.D80.32.30.632%31%64%34%16%7%3% Iceland 0 pts.D68.01.90.911%20%32%12%4%1%<1% Nigeria 0 pts.D70.31.80.711%20%31%12%4%1%<1% Brazil 0 pts.E92.93.10.368%22%89%65%45%30%18% Switzerland 0 pts.E77.92.30.717%36%53%23%11%5%2% Serbia 0 pts.E73.52.10.812%29%41%16%7%3%1% Costa Rica 0 pts.E63.61.70.93%14%17%4%1%<1%<1% Germany 0 pts.F90.93.30.567%22%89%58%40%24%14% Sweden 0 pts.F74.02.10.716%34%50%17%7%3%1% Mexico 0 pts.F75.62.20.714%31%45%14%6%3%1% South Korea 0 pts.F60.41.61.04%13%16%3%1%<1%<1% Belgium 0 pts.G85.72.90.652%36%87%59%27%14%6% England 0 pts.G83.32.30.542%42%84%56%26%13%6% Tunisia 0 pts.G58.11.61.04%12%15%5%1%<1%<1% Panama 0 pts.G57.11.51.03%11%13%4%1%<1%<1% Colombia 0 pts.H80.22.20.540%28%68%31%13%5%2% Poland 0 pts.H73.22.20.928%27%55%21%7%3%1% Japan 0 pts.H72.62.10.821%25%45%16%5%2%<1% Senegal 0 pts.H65.31.70.812%20%32%9%2%1%<1% Forecast from How this works: Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings are a combination of each team's recent match results and the overall quality of its World Cup roster. This forecast is based on 20,000 simulations of the tournament and updates live. Read more » Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. Design and development by Jay Boice and Rachael Dottle. Additional contributions from Andrei Scheinkman and Julia Wolfe.