2021 WNBA PredictionsUpdated after every game.
More WNBA:[a][b][c][d] How this works
STANDINGS GAMESAces Dream Fever Liberty Lynx Mercury Mystics Sky Sparks Storm Sun Wings
| REGULAR SEASON | PLAYOFFS | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RANK | ELO RATING | 1-WEEK CHANGE | TEAM | PROJ. RECORD | PROJ. POINT DIFF/G | CHANCE OF MAKING PLAYOFFS | CHANCE OF MAKING FINALS | CHANCE OF WINNING FINALS |
| 1 | 1621 | — | Storm0-0 | 21-11 | +5.1 | 96% | 51% | 31% |
| 2 | 1551 | — | Aces0-0 | 18-14 | +2.1 | 84% | 26% | 13% |
| 3 | 1546 | — | Sun0-0 | 18-14 | +2.0 | 83% | 25% | 12% |
| 4 | 1525 | — | Sparks0-0 | 17-15 | +0.9 | 77% | 19% | 9% |
| 5 | 1521 | — | Lynx0-0 | 17-15 | +0.9 | 77% | 18% | 8% |
| 6 | 1513 | — | Mercury0-0 | 17-15 | +0.6 | 74% | 16% | 7% |
| 7 | 1500 | — | Sky0-0 | 16-16 | 0.0 | 70% | 14% | 6% |
| 8 | 1497 | — | Mystics0-0 | 16-16 | -0.1 | 68% | 13% | 5% |
| 9 | 1460 | — | Wings0-0 | 14-18 | -1.8 | 53% | 7% | 3% |
| 10 | 1447 | — | Dream0-0 | 14-18 | -2.2 | 49% | 6% | 2% |
| 11 | 1434 | — | Fever0-0 | 13-19 | -2.8 | 43% | 5% | 2% |
| 12 | 1385 | — | Liberty0-0 | 11-21 | -4.8 | 26% | 2% | <1% |
Forecast from Today
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How this works: These forecasts are based on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. Read more »
Design and development by Ryan Best, Jay Boice and Jasmine Mithani. Edited by Christopher Groskopf, Jennifer Mason and Sara Ziegler. Statistical model by Ryan Best, Jay Boice and Nate Silver. Illustration by Elias Stein.