Sports – FiveThirtyEight — 2014 World Cup RSS



Numbers Don’t Back up the Notion That American Soccer Is ‘Too Honest’

In advance of the United States’ World Cup debut against Ghana on Monday, Sam Borden of The New York Times wrote about a curious dilemma faced by the American players: To flop or not to flop? Several sources in Borden’s feature floated a theory that, culturally, American athletes find it hard to embrace the dishonesty of what FIFA calls “simulation.” […]

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World Cup Crib Notes: Day 10

After thrashing Portugal 4-0 in its first game, Germany has seen its probability of winning the World Cup steadily rise, to 13.4 percent from 10.7 percent. That increase is more than any team’s since the tournament began, except the Netherlands’. The Germans face Ghana in the second game of the day. Argentina vs. Iran: 12 p.m. […]

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World Cup Crib Notes: Day 10

After thrashing Portugal 4-0 in its first game, Germany has seen its probability of winning the World Cup steadily rise, to 13.4 percent from 10.7 percent. That increase is more than any team’s since the tournament began, except the Netherlands’. The Germans face Ghana in the second game of the day. Argentina vs. Iran: 12 p.m. […]

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World Cup Crib Notes: Day 9

Friday’s France-Switzerland tilt represents a battle for first place in Group E, as both teams are tied with three points after winning their first matches. But though the winner will be in the driver’s seat for advancement, the stakes aren’t especially high for the loser either. Italy vs. Costa Rica: 12 p.m. EDT France vs. […]

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World Cup Crib Notes: Day 9

Friday’s France-Switzerland tilt represents a battle for first place in Group E, as both teams are tied with three points after winning their first matches. But though the winner will be in the driver’s seat for advancement, the stakes aren’t especially high for the loser either. Italy vs. Costa Rica: 12 p.m. EDT France vs. […]

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