We love making predictions at FiveThirtyEight, but we know that they’d be meaningless if we didn’t check to see how accurate they turned out to be. Over the past month, we forecast every NCAA college basketball game for the women’s and men’s tournaments, updating our numbers almost a hundred times as 132 teams were pared […]
We love making predictions at FiveThirtyEight, but we know that they’d be meaningless if we didn’t check to see how accurate they turned out to be. Over the past month, we forecast every NCAA college basketball game for the women’s and men’s tournaments, updating our numbers almost a hundred times as 132 teams were pared […]
Years from now, most memories of the 2015 NCAA men’s championship game will center around Duke’s second-half comeback from down nine points, thanks to a burst of scoring from freshmen guards Tyus Jones and Grayson Allen. But Wisconsin’s offense, noted all year for its ruthless efficiency, also abandoned the team in the most important game […]
Years from now, most memories of the 2015 NCAA men’s championship game will center around Duke’s second-half comeback from down nine points, thanks to a burst of scoring from freshmen guards Tyus Jones and Grayson Allen. But Wisconsin’s offense, noted all year for its ruthless efficiency, also abandoned the team in the most important game […]
When this tournament started, the FiveThirtyEight model said Duke was only 6 percent likely to win the NCAA tournament. Now it’s 100 percent. What the model couldn’t tell you: that Duke would pull away from Gonzaga late in the Elite Eight and demolish a surprising Michigan State team in the Final Four; that it’d have […]
