Sports – FiveThirtyEight — 2018 Election RSS



The Recent Rush Of GOP Retirements Is Good For Democrats

After August’s long congressional recess, retirement is suddenly looking pretty good to many Republican members of Congress. On Monday, Rep. Dave Trott of Michigan’s 11th Congressional District became the latest in a string of Republicans to step away from competitive U.S. House seats. The rapid-fire retirements have quickly given rise to the narrative that the […]

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2018 Could Be The Year Of The Angry White College Graduate

Even with the political winds at their back, Democrats enter the 2018 congressional midterms at a historic geographic disadvantage. They also face demographic hurdles: Midterm electorates tend to be older and whiter than those that show up in presidential years. That’s part of the reason Republicans picked up so many House and Senate seats in […]

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Trump Voters In Alabama May Be About To Teach Trump A Lesson

Is President Trump losing sway over Republicans? It would seem so in Alabama, where the candidate he endorsed, Sen. Luther Strange, is trailing in the state’s GOP Senate primary. In an average taken of all polls for the Sept. 26 runoff, former state Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore leads Strange 45 percent to 36 […]

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Fake Polls Are A Real Problem

Is Kid Rock leading the U.S. Senate race in Michigan? A story like that is essentially designed to go viral, and that’s exactly what happened when Delphi Analytica released a poll fielded from July 14 to July 18. Republican Kid Rock earned 30 percent to Sen. Debbie Stabenow’s 26 percent. A sitting U.S. senator was […]

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