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Internal Polls Are Usually Bunk
The political world’s perception of Tuesday’s Republican primary for U.S. Senate in West Virginia is largely being shaped by a pair of stories — one in Politico, the other in the Weekly Standard — claiming that Don Blankenship, the coal magnate who spent a year in prison for safety violations relating to the Upper Big […]
What’s At Stake In The First Big Primary Day Of 2018
Will a new political dynasty be born? Will a man not quite a year removed from prison become the GOP’s candidate for Senate? Will Dennis Kucinich finally win a nomination — 14 years after his first quixotic presidential bid? These things could all happen Tuesday, primary day in the great states of Indiana, North Carolina, […]
Democrats’ Horrible 2018 Senate Map Couldn’t Have Come At A Better Time
You hear it all the time: The 2018 Senate map is bad, even “brutal,” for Democrats. Of the 35 seats on the ballot this cycle, 26 are held by senators who caucus with the Democrats, and just nine are held by Republicans. Democrats must flip two of those nine — without losing any seats of […]
Politics Podcast: How Much Trouble Is Joe Manchin In?
Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia is one of 10 Democrats defending a Senate seat in a state President Trump won in 2016. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast team sizes up the Republicans hoping to challenge him this fall and debates how worried he should be. The crew also engages some hypotheticals in a new round […]