First, we look at how the women’s NCAA Tournament is shaping up. There have been some amazingly close games — Texas A&M inched past Troy with some questionable refereeing — and an upset that took the FiveThirtyEight Excitement Index all the way to 11 as Wright State beat Arkansas. But unfortunately, the NCAA has been […]
From the outside, March 16, 2012, was the maddest day in the history of the men’s NCAA Tournament. Before that tourney, only four No. 2 seeds had ever lost their opening-round tilts against No. 15 seeds. On that day, it happened not once, but twice. The first Goliath to fall was Missouri, a historically solid […]
A year after we were forced to take solace in virtual brackets, March Madness is (thankfully) back in 2021 — and so are our men’s and women’s NCAA Tournament forecast models. Click here to read about how the probabilities are generated and read on to see what data points and trends jumped out in our […]