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It’s All About the Strike Zone

As the godfather of sabermetrics, Bill James, has noted, baseball is — at its core — a game of controlling the strike zone. Indeed, how much can we tell about a team just from its basic strike-zone indicators? Specifically, there were two metrics I wanted to look at. The first is James’s strike-zone win-loss percentage, which […]

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How to Predict MLB Records From Early Results

We often hear announcers and commentators say a baseball team is “on pace” to win and lose a certain number of games, by simply applying a team’s current winning percentage over 162 games. Those statements may technically be true, but in a randomness-filled reality, they’re meaningless. Sabermetrics constantly struggles with randomness, an unavoidable fact of […]

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How to Predict MLB Records From Early Results

We often hear announcers and commentators say a baseball team is “on pace” to win and lose a certain number of games, by simply applying a team’s current winning percentage over 162 games. Those statements may technically be true, but in a randomness-filled reality, they’re meaningless. Sabermetrics constantly struggles with randomness, an unavoidable fact of […]

Continue reading