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Breaking Down ESPN’s First MLB Season Forecast

The ESPN Forecast panel released its first-ever set of Major League Baseball predictions last week, and the editors were kind enough to provide us with the raw voting data. FiveThirtyEight had just published an article about preseason predictions, so we were eager to dig into the panel’s results. With the raw votes from the panel’s […]

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Most Managers Are Headed to the Hall of Mediocrity

Criticizing baseball managers is a pastime as American as baseball itself. Players make their share of gaffes, but few mistakes are dissected with as much scrutiny as those made by the men in the dugout, especially during the postseason. Whether it’s his faulty in-game tactical choices or just the vague sense that he’s lost control […]

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Most Managers Are Headed to the Hall of Mediocrity

Criticizing baseball managers is a pastime as American as baseball itself. Players make their share of gaffes, but few mistakes are dissected with as much scrutiny as those made by the men in the dugout, especially during the postseason. Whether it’s his faulty in-game tactical choices or just the vague sense that he’s lost control […]

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Cabrera’s Millions And Baseball’s Billions

I was surprised by my colleague Neil Paine’s analysis of Miguel Cabrera’s record-breaking new contract extension. I thought the Detroit Tigers would come out looking much worse. According to Neil’s estimate, which used projections from Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA system, Cabrera’s market value for the next 10 years is roughly $275 million. That’s not as much […]

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Cabrera’s Millions And Baseball’s Billions

I was surprised by my colleague Neil Paine’s analysis of Miguel Cabrera’s record-breaking new contract extension. I thought the Detroit Tigers would come out looking much worse. According to Neil’s estimate, which used projections from Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA system, Cabrera’s market value for the next 10 years is roughly $275 million. That’s not as much […]

Continue reading