Sports – FiveThirtyEight — Basketball RSS



Got a Billion Dollars? Buy the Clippers

UPDATE (May 29, 7:45 p.m.): The Los Angeles Times has reported that Steve Ballmer, former CEO of Microsoft, will purchase the Clippers for $2 billion. Earlier this month Nate Silver wrote about team valuations in the NBA, and whether the Clippers were worth more than was commonly believed. The original piece is below. A billion […]

Continue reading



There’s a 97 Percent Chance to Win, But Don’t Relax

Wednesday night in the NBA, the Toronto Raptors were up 25 points over the Brooklyn Nets late in the third quarter. According to reasonable models, the Raptors had more than a 99.9 percent chance of winning the game. And they did end up winning the game. But does that mean the game was over in the […]

Continue reading



There’s a 97 Percent Chance to Win, But Don’t Relax

Wednesday night in the NBA, the Toronto Raptors were up 25 points over the Brooklyn Nets late in the third quarter. According to reasonable models, the Raptors had more than a 99.9 percent chance of winning the game. And they did end up winning the game. But does that mean the game was over in the […]

Continue reading



Intentionally Fouling DeAndre Jordan Is Futile

In the 17 years since Don Nelson first urged the intentional fouling of Dennis Rodman in an attempt to stop the Chicago Bulls from scoring so many points, fans of NBA teams with big men who struggle at the free-throw line have come to rue the “Hack-A-Shaq” strategy. Proponents of uninterrupted basketball have decried it for […]

Continue reading



Intentionally Fouling DeAndre Jordan Is Futile

In the 17 years since Don Nelson first urged the intentional fouling of Dennis Rodman in an attempt to stop the Chicago Bulls from scoring so many points, fans of NBA teams with big men who struggle at the free-throw line have come to rue the “Hack-A-Shaq” strategy. Proponents of uninterrupted basketball have decried it for […]

Continue reading