Sports – FiveThirtyEight — Basketball RSS



Villanova Had The Most Impressive Tournament Win In More Than 53 Years

Ahead of Saturday’s Final Four matchup between Villanova and Oklahoma, our prediction model had the Wildcats only slightly favored, with a 54 percent chance of winning, and nearly a quarter of the game was as tight as that probability suggests. When Oklahoma led 17-16 after eight minutes, our in-game win probabilities listed the odds as […]

Continue reading



The Warriors’ Chances Of Getting 73 Wins Are Back Up

The Warriors are just fine. Two nights after a loss to the Boston Celtics dropped Golden State’s odds of breaking the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls’ record of 72 regular season wins to 54.6 percent according to our CARM-Elo projections, the Warriors thumped the Portland Trail Blazers 136-111 and those chances are back to 60 percent. Stephen […]

Continue reading



The Warriors’ Chances Of Getting 73 Wins Are Back Up

The Warriors are just fine. Two nights after a loss to the Boston Celtics dropped Golden State’s odds of breaking the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls’ record of 72 regular season wins to 54.6 percent according to our CARM-Elo projections, the Warriors thumped the Portland Trail Blazers 136-111 and those chances are back to 60 percent. Stephen […]

Continue reading



How Losing To The Celtics Changes The Warriors’ Odds Of 73 Wins

On Thursday, we pegged the Golden State Warriors’ chance of winning 73 games — thereby breaking the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls’ all-time NBA record for most victories in a season — at 85 percent. But Friday night, the improbable happened: The Boston Celtics beat Golden State in Oakland, snapping the Warriors’ 54-game winning streak at Oracle […]

Continue reading



How Losing To The Celtics Changes The Warriors’ Odds Of 73 Wins

On Thursday, we pegged the Golden State Warriors’ chance of winning 73 games — thereby breaking the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls’ all-time NBA record for most victories in a season — at 85 percent. But Friday night, the improbable happened: The Boston Celtics beat Golden State in Oakland, snapping the Warriors’ 54-game winning streak at Oracle […]

Continue reading