In preparation for the 2015 NFL season, FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight division previews, each highlighting the numbers that may influence a team’s performance (including projections and rankings based on ESPN’s preseason Football Power Index). Today we focus on the AFC North, where Baltimore, Cincinnati and Pittsburgh have all taken the division title […]
Before Thursday night’s game between the Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns, our Elo ratings predicted a 77 percent probability of a Bengals win. Cincinnati had the higher Elo rating before the game, 1568 to 1420, and it was playing at home, both of which fed a pregame point spread of -8.5 points in the Bengals’ […]
Before Thursday night’s game between the Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns, our Elo ratings predicted a 77 percent probability of a Bengals win. Cincinnati had the higher Elo rating before the game, 1568 to 1420, and it was playing at home, both of which fed a pregame point spread of -8.5 points in the Bengals’ […]
It was a week of fantastic finishes in the NFL. The Buffalo Bills beat the Detroit Lions on a 58-yard field goal by Dan Carpenter just moments after Lions’ kicker Alex Henery shanked his third field goal attempt of the game. The Cleveland Browns came back from a 28-3 deficit to beat the Tennessee Titans, […]
It was a week of fantastic finishes in the NFL. The Buffalo Bills beat the Detroit Lions on a 58-yard field goal by Dan Carpenter just moments after Lions’ kicker Alex Henery shanked his third field goal attempt of the game. The Cleveland Browns came back from a 28-3 deficit to beat the Tennessee Titans, […]
