Sports – FiveThirtyEight — College Basketball RSS



NCAA Men’s Tournament Forecast: The Parity Is Over

Check out FiveThirtyEight’s March Madness predictions. Not long ago, in a galaxy not so far away from wherever Comcast placed truTV in your cable lineup, the era of the dominant men’s college basketball team was over. Last year, no team had more than a 15 percent chance of winning the NCAA men’s tournament, according to […]

Continue reading



How FiveThirtyEight’s March Madness Bracket Works

In contrast to the parity of the recent past, this year’s NCAA men’s basketball tournament has a clear front-runner: the undefeated Kentucky Wildcats. FiveThirtyEight’s March Madness Predictions give the Wildcats a 41 percent chance to win it all and finish 40-0. Kentucky’s chances are well ahead of a group of teams — Villanova, Arizona and […]

Continue reading



How FiveThirtyEight’s March Madness Bracket Works

In contrast to the parity of the recent past, this year’s NCAA men’s basketball tournament has a clear front-runner: the undefeated Kentucky Wildcats. FiveThirtyEight’s March Madness Predictions give the Wildcats a 41 percent chance to win it all and finish 40-0. Kentucky’s chances are well ahead of a group of teams — Villanova, Arizona and […]

Continue reading



2015 March Madness Predictions

FiveThirtyEight’s men’s and women’s NCAA tournament forecasting models calculate the chance of each team reaching each round, taking into account a composite of power rankings, pre-season rankings, the team’s placement on the NCAA’s S-curve, player injuries and geography, where data is available. See our 2018 March Madness predictions.

Continue reading



Kentucky’s Chances Of Going Undefeated Are Now 37 Percent

For the past three weeks or so, we’ve been tracking the odds that the Kentucky Wildcats can pull off a truly remarkable feat: becoming the first men’s NCAA Division I basketball team to finish a season undefeated since Bob Knight’s Indiana Hoosiers did so in 1976. Since the Wildcats just beat the Florida Gators in […]

Continue reading