FiveThirtyEight’s College Football Playoff forecast model is in some ways both my most favorite and my least favorite of the many statistical models we publish. That’s because, instead of trying to predict the games themselves — we mostly defer to ESPN’s Football Power Index for that — we try to predict the behavior of the […]
FiveThirtyEight’s College Football Playoff forecast model is in some ways both my most favorite and my least favorite of the many statistical models we publish. That’s because, instead of trying to predict the games themselves — we mostly defer to ESPN’s Football Power Index for that — we try to predict the behavior of the […]
Ohio State vs. Michigan State is this week’s marquee matchup in the college football world. If either team wants to ensure a playoff appearance, it needs to win out — but the Buckeyes and Spartans have to first get past each other. (And come the Big Ten championship game, one will also need to get […]
Ohio State vs. Michigan State is this week’s marquee matchup in the college football world. If either team wants to ensure a playoff appearance, it needs to win out — but the Buckeyes and Spartans have to first get past each other. (And come the Big Ten championship game, one will also need to get […]
Conferences are weird. And not just because some of their names don’t make any sense. (The Big Ten has 14 members?! The Big 12 has 10?!) Although most college football conferences hold championship games, others are prohibited from holding them (and get screwed because of it). They feature rapacious money grubbing and encourage teams to […]