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How Our 2017 College Football Playoff Predictions Work

FiveThirtyEight’s College Football Playoff forecast model is in some ways both my most favorite and my least favorite of the many statistical models we publish. That’s because, instead of trying to predict the games themselves — we mostly defer to ESPN’s Football Power Index for that — we try to predict the behavior of the […]

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How Our 2017 College Football Playoff Predictions Work

FiveThirtyEight’s College Football Playoff forecast model is in some ways both my most favorite and my least favorite of the many statistical models we publish. That’s because, instead of trying to predict the games themselves — we mostly defer to ESPN’s Football Power Index for that — we try to predict the behavior of the […]

Continue reading