The polls have varied significantly heading into Tuesday’s special Senate election in Alabama. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast team discusses why turnout is so difficult to predict and how different groups of voters could affect the outcome. The crew also assesses how Sen. Al Franken’s resignation has shaped the political conversation surrounding sexual misconduct allegations — […]
Follow our live coverage of Alabama’s special election for U.S. Senate. Somebody’s going to be wrong in Alabama. We’ve already urged caution when interpreting polls of Alabama’s special election to the U.S. Senate, which will be held on Tuesday. Some of that is because of the media’s usual tendency to demand certainty from the polls […]
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Today’s theme song is “The Critic — Main Theme” from the television show “The Critic.” Poll of the week Congress on Thursday postponed its fight over government funding for a couple of weeks. But Democrats may still try to make future funding contingent on replacing former President Obama’s […]
Sen. Al Franken announced on Thursday that he will resign from the U.S. Senate following multiple accusations of sexual misconduct. Once Franken officially leaves office, Democratic Gov. Mark Dayton will appoint a replacement (possibly Lt. Gov. Tina Smith) who will hold the seat through the 2018 midterm elections. In 2018, a special election will take […]
Things seem to be going Roy Moore’s way. President Trump endorsed him. The Republican National Committee is back to supporting him. And Moore, who has been accused of sexual contact with women when they were underaged, has led by an average of 3 percentage points in polls taken within 21 days of the Dec. 12 […]