Last year, as it became clear that President Trump was determined to roll back much of what Barack Obama had done as president, we came up with a list of Obama’s 10 biggest accomplishments. It’s not a definitive list, but we consulted scholars, journalists, some of Obama’s own aides and other lists of major legislation […]
Our social media editor, Meena Ganesan, dutifully sends out a tweet each morning from the @FiveThirtyEight account detailing President Trump’s approval rating according to our constantly updating average of polls. The tweet isn’t automated, but it probably could be, since the number is always pretty much the same. For the past 66 days, Trump’s approval […]
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. micah (Micah Cohen, politics editor): For your consideration today: Should President Trump agree to be interviewed by special counsel Robert Mueller? Obviously, we’re not lawyers or legal analysts, so we mostly want to focus on the politics of that question. But let’s […]
Will Michael Cohen flip? The media has been debating that question ever since the FBI raided the office of President Trump’s longtime personal lawyer on April 8. Cohen is under investigation for bank fraud and campaign finance violations, and while that case is separate from Robert Mueller’s investigation into Russian involvement in the 2016 presidential […]
It’s been about two weeks since House Speaker Paul Ryan announced that he would retire, and a narrative has already emerged about Ryan’s legacy and why he wanted out. In short: Ryan had no place in President Trump’s Republican Party. Ryan is a standard establishment Republican, the narrative goes, uninterested in President Trump’s populist bromides […]