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Consensus And Discord in Predicting the 2014 MLB Season

On Tuesday, I put together a probabilistic breakdown of each MLB team’s prospects for the 2014 season according to the voting results of ESPN’s MLB Forecast panel. The panel, a group of over 140 baseball experts, was polled on how those experts thought each team would perform. With the voting data, we can also examine […]

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Consensus And Discord in Predicting the 2014 MLB Season

On Tuesday, I put together a probabilistic breakdown of each MLB team’s prospects for the 2014 season according to the voting results of ESPN’s MLB Forecast panel. The panel, a group of over 140 baseball experts, was polled on how those experts thought each team would perform. With the voting data, we can also examine which […]

Continue reading



Breaking Down ESPN’s First MLB Season Forecast

The ESPN Forecast panel released its first-ever set of Major League Baseball predictions last week, and the editors were kind enough to provide us with the raw voting data. FiveThirtyEight had just published an article about preseason predictions, so we were eager to dig into the panel’s results. With the raw votes from the panel’s […]

Continue reading



Breaking Down ESPN’s First MLB Season Forecast

The ESPN Forecast panel released its first-ever set of Major League Baseball predictions last week, and the editors were kind enough to provide us with the raw voting data. FiveThirtyEight had just published an article about preseason predictions, so we were eager to dig into the panel’s results. With the raw votes from the panel’s […]

Continue reading