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Can The NBA’s Experimental Endgame Make It To Games That Count?

Damian Lillard collects a long offensive rebound beyond the 3-point line, shuffle-steps to his left and drains one of his patented deep triples. It’s another game winner to add to his extensive collection. This one is a bit different from his others, though. For starters, the stakes are lower: It’s the 2023 NBA All-Star Game […]

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Thank God You People Don’t Have The Nuclear Codes

Let’s all be thankful that FiveThirtyEight readers don’t control America’s nuclear arsenal. Last week, we published an article on the game theory of nuclear standoffs. That article included an interactive game meant to let readers pretend they were themselves participants in a showdown in which something could be gained, and much more could be lost. […]

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How To Win A Nuclear Standoff

Shall we play a game? Imagine that a crisp $100 bill lies on a table between us. We both want it, of course, but there’s no chance of splitting it — our wallets are empty. So we vie for it according to a few simple rules. We’ll each write down a secret number — between […]

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Game Theory Says R.A. Dickey Should Throw More Knuckleballs

Of all the strategic elements of baseball, few are more fascinating than the poker game between pitcher and hitter. Each participant knows his strengths and those of his adversary, and that knowledge informs both players’ tactics in a complex entanglement of actions and counteractions. If the best pitch in a hurler’s repertoire is his fastball, […]

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Game Theory Says R.A. Dickey Should Throw More Knuckleballs

Of all the strategic elements of baseball, few are more fascinating than the poker game between pitcher and hitter. Each participant knows his strengths and those of his adversary, and that knowledge informs both players’ tactics in a complex entanglement of actions and counteractions. If the best pitch in a hurler’s repertoire is his fastball, […]

Continue reading