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Numbers Don’t Back up the Notion That American Soccer Is ‘Too Honest’

In advance of the United States’ World Cup debut against Ghana on Monday, Sam Borden of The New York Times wrote about a curious dilemma faced by the American players: To flop or not to flop? Several sources in Borden’s feature floated a theory that, culturally, American athletes find it hard to embrace the dishonesty of what FIFA calls “simulation.” […]

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Germany’s Draw Didn’t Help the U.S.

Germany drew Ghana 2-2 on Saturday in one of the most exciting matches of the World Cup. The result has some tricky effects for the United States, which will play Portugal in Manaus, Brazil, on Sunday. It increases the chance that the U.S. will finish first in Group G — that probability is now 20 […]

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Germany’s Draw Didn’t Help the U.S.

Germany drew Ghana 2-2 on Saturday in one of the most exciting matches of the World Cup. The result has some tricky effects for the United States, which will play Portugal in Manaus, Brazil, on Sunday. It increases the chance that the U.S. will finish first in Group G — that probability is now 20 […]

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World Cup Crib Notes: Day 10

After thrashing Portugal 4-0 in its first game, Germany has seen its probability of winning the World Cup steadily rise, to 13.4 percent from 10.7 percent. That increase is more than any team’s since the tournament began, except the Netherlands’. The Germans face Ghana in the second game of the day. Argentina vs. Iran: 12 p.m. […]

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World Cup Crib Notes: Day 10

After thrashing Portugal 4-0 in its first game, Germany has seen its probability of winning the World Cup steadily rise, to 13.4 percent from 10.7 percent. That increase is more than any team’s since the tournament began, except the Netherlands’. The Germans face Ghana in the second game of the day. Argentina vs. Iran: 12 p.m. […]

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