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NFL Coaches Are Getting Away With Crimes Against Middle-School Math

The NFL divisional playoff action once again demonstrated that NFL coaches are terrible at basic win-maximizing tactical decisions. In particular, there were two glaring spots where teams failed to go for two despite it being a fairly straightforward decision. In the wake of Green Bay’s loss to Arizona — in which the Packers conceded a […]

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NFL Coaches Are Getting Away With Crimes Against Middle-School Math

The NFL divisional playoff action once again demonstrated that NFL coaches are terrible at basic win-maximizing tactical decisions. In particular, there were two glaring spots where teams failed to go for two despite it being a fairly straightforward decision. In the wake of Green Bay’s loss to Arizona — in which the Packers conceded a […]

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Some Of Our Best Work From 2016

As we hurtle toward 2017, the FiveThirtyEight staff has been thinking about our favorite articles, podcasts and videos from the past year. This isn’t a comprehensive list, but here are some gems that you might have missed — or that we think are worth another look or listen.     Oliver Roeder investigated a plagiarism […]

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Skeptical Football: I Love Aaron Rodgers

Stop the presses! Last Sunday, the Packers’ Aaron Rodgers threw two interceptions, his first in Green Bay since December 2012. Granted, they were completely inconsequential, and at least the first was pretty much a freak accident — his pass deflected off a linebacker — but Rodgers accepted at least some of the blame for them […]

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Skeptical Football: I Love Aaron Rodgers

Stop the presses! Last Sunday, the Packers’ Aaron Rodgers threw two interceptions, his first in Green Bay since December 2012. Granted, they were completely inconsequential, and at least the first was pretty much a freak accident — his pass deflected off a linebacker — but Rodgers accepted at least some of the blame for them […]

Continue reading