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Week 19 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds: Divisional Round Edition

One blind spot of the analytics movement has been its underappreciation of postseason play. I don’t necessarily mean that “COUNT THE RINGZ” is a better paradigm. But there are all sorts of interesting empirical questions raised by the playoffs that analysts have sometimes ignored. Are the factors that yield postseason success different than those that […]

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Week 17 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds: Special Seahawks Edition

The Seattle Seahawks began the season ranked No. 1 in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Elo ratings. After flirting with the top position for the past two weeks, they reclaimed it on Sunday after crushing the Arizona Cardinals 35-6. The previous No. 1, the New England Patriots, also won on Sunday, but in much less impressive fashion, defeating […]

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Week 17 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds: Special Seahawks Edition

The Seattle Seahawks began the season ranked No. 1 in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Elo ratings. After flirting with the top position for the past two weeks, they reclaimed it on Sunday after crushing the Arizona Cardinals 35-6. The previous No. 1, the New England Patriots, also won on Sunday, but in much less impressive fashion, defeating […]

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NFL Week 17 Playoff Implications: Someone Has To Win The NFC South

With just one week remaining in the NFL regular season, the playoff implications are fairly straightforward, and running thousands of simulations of Week 17 outcomes may seem like computational overkill. But the playoff field is far from settled, particularly the seeding, so a simulation model can still be helpful in sorting out the probable from […]

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NFL Week 17 Playoff Implications: Someone Has To Win The NFC South

  With just one week remaining in the NFL regular season, the playoff implications are fairly straightforward, and running thousands of simulations of Week 17 outcomes may seem like computational overkill. But the playoff field is far from settled, particularly the seeding, so a simulation model can still be helpful in sorting out the probable […]

Continue reading