Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll of the week For some time, the conventional wisdom (and I largely agree with it) around the upcoming midterms has been that Democrats are modest favorites to win the House, while Republicans are likely to hold the Senate. Democrats, who have 49 Senate seats at the moment, […]
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. micah (Micah Cohen, politics editor): Today’s topic: If you’re a Republican elected official, what qualifies you as anti-Trump? Why are we talking about this? Well, there are plenty of GOP senators — Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, John McCain, Jeff Flake, Bob Corker, […]
Republicans still have a majority of seats in the U.S. Senate. But they may no longer have a real governing majority on every issue. Arizona Sen. Jeff Flake announced Tuesday that he will not seek re-election in 2018 — an acknowledgement that his more moderate stances on issues like immigration and his sharp criticism of […]
Americans inclined to pay attention to these sorts of things have engaged in some distinctly Calvinist political thinking of late: that the Senate map for 2018 is predestined to stay Republican. The GOP currently controls 52 seats to the Democrats’ 48 (including two independents who caucus with the Democrats). The Democrats would need to flip […]
Sen. John McCain announced on Friday that he would vote no on the Graham-Cassidy bill, a renewed GOP effort to repeal the Affordable Care Act. FiveThirtyEight’s Politics podcast team weighs in on whether Republicans can still muster a repeal with only a week before their options narrow significantly. You can listen to the episode by […]