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NFL Week 2 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds

It’s a cliche: Every game counts in a league that plays just 16 of them. But Benjamin Morris’s findings in his debut Skeptical Football column were nevertheless striking: A Week 1 or Week 2 game can affect an NFL team’s chances of making the playoffs by as much as 20 or 30 percent. We also […]

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NFL Week 2 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds

It’s a cliche: Every game counts in a league that plays just 16 of them. But Benjamin Morris’s findings in his debut Skeptical Football column were nevertheless striking: A Week 1 or Week 2 game can affect an NFL team’s chances of making the playoffs by as much as 20 or 30 percent. We also […]

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2014 NFL Preview: The Broncos vs. The Hopefuls

FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight NFL previews, one division at a time, to highlight the numbers that may influence each team’s season. America’s favorite weekly soap opera is about to begin; get prepped. Denver Broncos Expected wins (using implied power ratings from Las Vegas point spreads): 10.3 Playoff probability: 73 percent (56 percent […]

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2014 NFL Preview: The Broncos vs. The Hopefuls

FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight NFL previews, one division at a time, to highlight the numbers that may influence each team’s season. America’s favorite weekly soap opera is about to begin; get prepped. Denver Broncos Expected wins (using implied power ratings from Las Vegas point spreads): 10.3 Playoff probability: 73 percent (56 percent […]

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