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Small Sample Sizes Be Damned, Let’s Talk About Baseball

First, since we’re nearly two weeks into the MLB season, we look at which teams are doing well and which teams are struggling. With the caveat that we’re working with a very small sample size — certainly our model hasn’t made many adjustments just yet — things look promising for the Cincinnati Reds and the […]

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This Is The Byron Buxton We Were Promised

The Minnesota Twins have MLB’s second-best record over the past two-plus seasons (trailing only the powerhouse Los Angeles Dodgers), earning a pair of division titles over that span. They’ve scored the third-most runs in baseball and rank fourth in OPS, with a reputation as one of the most devastating offensive teams in the game. But […]

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2021 MLB Preview: Our Guide To The American League

Baseball returns this week for what we can all hope is a more normal season after last year’s abbreviated 60-game, expanded-playoffs pandemic campaign. Accordingly, we’ve launched our 2021 MLB forecast model, with win totals and playoff odds that look a little bit more regular than they did going into 2020. As always, we estimate each […]

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Versatile Infielders Are Baseball’s Secret Weapon

Ordinarily, a rookie season like the one Jake Cronenworth enjoyed would be enough to guarantee him a regular job. Cronenworth posted a slash line of .285/.354/.477 in 2020, good for an OPS+ of 130, while playing primarily second base for San Diego, along with some fill-in at shortstop, first base and third base. But with […]

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MLB Starting Pitchers Will Have Less Rest This Postseason

Starting pitching tactics in baseball’s postseason, which starts today, often differ from those of the regular season. Because of the off days needed for travel between cities in a playoff series, pitchers typically enjoy more rest. That allows teams to lean on their best pitchers more than they can in the regular season. For instance, […]

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