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How Baseball’s Extra-Weird 2020 Season Makes Projecting 2021 More Difficult
Spring training is a time for pitchers to rebuild their arsenals, hitters to find a rhythm against live competition and teams to begin forming their identity for the season. It’s also a time for statistical forecasts, which — let’s be honest — is the kind of preseason prep we are especially fond of here at […]
The Padres Are Going For It
The San Diego Padres had to do something to improve their World Series odds leading into Monday’s Major League Baseball trade deadline. They did a lot. The Padres added nine major leaguers and traded away 14 players, including eight of the top 28 prospects from one of the game’s best farm systems. It all occurred […]
Winners And Losers In MLB’s New Playoff Format
Earlier this week, we released our MLB predictions to reflect each team’s chances during this year’s shortened, 60-game schedule. But it wouldn’t be baseball in 2020 without one last curveball before first pitch. In an eleventh-hour amendment to the 2020 season’s structure, the owners and players union agreed on Thursday to expand the postseason from […]
The Dodgers Lead Our National League Predictions, But Don’t Count Out The Nats Or … Reds?
Welcome to the second part of our 2020 baseball season breakdown, based on our MLB prediction model. To help make sense of the contenders and also-rans of this strange season, we plugged the shortened schedule into our forecast model and simulated it 100,000 times, tracking each team’s expected record and its odds of winning the […]