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Oscars 2018: Here Are Our Final Predictions

Graphics by Gus Wezerek The British Academy of Film and Television Arts handed out its BAFTAs on Sunday — the last of the pre-Oscar movie honors to be awarded. That means the model that we’ve been using for the past several years to forecast the Academy Awards finally has all the data it needs for […]

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What We Learned While Trying To Find A New Bechdel Test

In our recent project looking for the next Bechdel Test, we tried to find new ways to evaluate whether Hollywood was doing a good job of representing all kinds of people equitably on screen and behind the scenes. To put the new tests through their paces, nine FiveThirtyEight staffers watched the 50 top-grossing movies of […]

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Oscars 2018: Here Are Our Early Predictions

Graphics by Gus Wezerek With the Academy Award nominees announced Tuesday morning, we have all we need to release our first projections for this year’s Oscars race. There’s no ironclad way to predict the Oscars — a couple thousand tight-lipped Hollywood insiders do not make the most easily pollable sample on the planet. Instead, what […]

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The Next Bechdel Test

The Next Bechdel Test Was the supporting cast at least 50 percent women? Did a woman write or direct the film? Did a female lead end up dead? Is there a black woman in the film? We pitted 50 movies against 12 new ways of measuring Hollywood’s gender imbalance. By Walt Hickey, Ella Koeze, Rachael […]

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