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Week 18 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds: Wild Card Edition

With the NFL’s regular season concluding last Sunday, our Elo ratings have, in some ways, completed their broadest purpose: to track the league’s horse race by providing a weekly top-to-bottom ranking of all 32 teams. (You can see the final regular-season ratings below.) By dint of their historically great Elo rating, the Seattle Seahawks might […]

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Week 18 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds: Wild Card Edition

With the NFL’s regular season concluding last Sunday, our Elo ratings have, in some ways, completed their broadest purpose: to track the league’s horse race by providing a weekly top-to-bottom ranking of all 32 teams. (You can see the final regular-season ratings below.) By dint of their historically great Elo rating, the Seattle Seahawks might […]

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Who Goes To Meaningless NFL Games And Why?

Argument — much like karaoke and online shopping — is at its best when done with friends and a drink. And so, here’s “Bar Fights With Walt,” a column devoted to solving the only questions that truly matter: the dumb arguments about life and pop culture developed and hashed out in barroom rants. We’ll use […]

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Who Goes To Meaningless NFL Games And Why?

Argument — much like karaoke and online shopping — is at its best when done with friends and a drink. And so, here’s “Bar Fights With Walt,” a column devoted to solving the only questions that truly matter: the dumb arguments about life and pop culture developed and hashed out in barroom rants. We’ll use […]

Continue reading



NFL Week 17 Playoff Implications: Someone Has To Win The NFC South

With just one week remaining in the NFL regular season, the playoff implications are fairly straightforward, and running thousands of simulations of Week 17 outcomes may seem like computational overkill. But the playoff field is far from settled, particularly the seeding, so a simulation model can still be helpful in sorting out the probable from […]

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