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How Our New NFL Model Did This Season

Quarterbacks ruled the 2019 NFL season, with Patrick Mahomes bringing the Lombardi Trophy to Kansas City and Lamar Jackson emerging as the league MVP. Quarterbacks were in control of the FiveThirtyEight prediction model, too, as a key factor of the new version of our Elo rating system, which adjusted for the performance of every starting […]

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Our Guide To Super Bowl LIV

Sunday’s Super Bowl matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers is one of huge contrasts: Patrick Mahomes vs. Jimmy Garoppolo. Passing vs. rushing. Offense vs. defense. Legendary barbecue vs. legendary burritos. (We can only hope the game itself proves to be just as legendary.) We’ve broken down the contest using our […]

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