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The Chiefs Are In An Unfamiliar Place — No. 1 In Our NFL Rankings

Well, that didn’t take long. We’re just one week into the 2017 NFL season, and there’s already a new team atop FiveThirtyEight’s Elo ratings. The Kansas City Chiefs rose to the top slot after beating the preseason No. 1 New England Patriots 42-27 in last Thursday’s season opener, and now Elo gives them a league-best […]

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The Chiefs Are In An Unfamiliar Place — No. 1 In Our NFL Rankings

Well, that didn’t take long. We’re just one week into the 2017 NFL season, and there’s already a new team atop FiveThirtyEight’s Elo ratings. The Kansas City Chiefs rose to the top slot after beating the preseason No. 1 New England Patriots 42-27 in last Thursday’s season opener, and now Elo gives them a league-best […]

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How To Play Our NFL Predictions Game

For the past three years, FiveThirtyEight has assessed every NFL game and published forecasts showing the chance each team has to win based on Elo ratings, a simple system that estimates each team’s skill level using only the final scores and locations of each game. This year, we’re giving you the chance to play along […]

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How To Play Our NFL Predictions Game

For the past three years, FiveThirtyEight has assessed every NFL game and published forecasts showing the chance each team has to win based on Elo ratings, a simple system that estimates each team’s skill level using only the final scores and locations of each game. This year, we’re giving you the chance to play along […]

Continue reading



How Our 2017 NFL Predictions Work

A good deal of FiveThirtyEight’s NFL coverage this season will use Elo ratings, a simple system that estimates each team’s skill level using only the final scores and locations of each game. As we’ve done in the past few years, we’re using those Elo ratings to calculate NFL predictions that include win probabilities and point […]

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