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Derek Carr Is The NFL’s Newest Gunslinger

One of the surprise stories of the first quarter of the NFL season is that the Oakland Raiders have raced out to a 3-1 start. In the preseason, FiveThirtyEight’s NFL forecast projected that Oakland would win 6.9 games, but our Elo ratings now think the Raiders will end the season with 8.2 wins. At the […]

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Wait — Why Shouldn’t The Raiders Have Gone For 2?

Down 24-10 early in the second half of their game Sunday against the New Orleans Saints, the Oakland Raiders seemed to be offering up more of the same frustration that has haunted the franchise since it last posted a winning record, in 2002. They’d just been burned on an inexcusable 98-yard touchdown pass from Drew […]

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Wait — Why Shouldn’t The Raiders Have Gone For 2?

Down 24-10 early in the second half of their game Sunday against the New Orleans Saints, the Oakland Raiders seemed to be offering up more of the same frustration that has haunted the franchise since it last posted a winning record, in 2002. They’d just been burned on an inexcusable 98-yard touchdown pass from Drew […]

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The Broncos And Chiefs Are Still Running The AFC West

To go with our 2016 NFL predictions, FiveThirtyEight is previewing each division. Denver Broncos There are a lot of things Elo doesn’t know. Coming into the season, it didn’t know that the Broncos lost their Hall of Fame quarterback and replaced him with the most deliberately uncertain QB situation we’ve seen on a contender in […]

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The Broncos And Chiefs Are Still Running The AFC West

To go with our 2016 NFL predictions, FiveThirtyEight is previewing each division. Denver Broncos There are a lot of things Elo doesn’t know. Coming into the season, it didn’t know that the Broncos lost their Hall of Fame quarterback and replaced him with the most deliberately uncertain QB situation we’ve seen on a contender in […]

Continue reading