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Why The Eagles’ Surprising Start Might — And Might Not — Hold Up

At 3-0, the Philadelphia Eagles are quickly gaining altitude. FiveThirtyEight’s preseason Elo ratings gave the Eagles a mere 1 percent chance to win the Super Bowl and a 27 percent probability of winning the NFC East; now those numbers are up to 6 percent and 59 percent, respectively. Three of the league’s four other undefeated […]

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Why The Eagles’ Surprising Start Might — And Might Not — Hold Up

At 3-0, the Philadelphia Eagles are quickly gaining altitude. FiveThirtyEight’s preseason Elo ratings gave the Eagles a mere 1 percent chance to win the Super Bowl and a 27 percent probability of winning the NFC East; now those numbers are up to 6 percent and 59 percent, respectively. Three of the league’s four other undefeated […]

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The NFC East Will Be An Ugly, Magnificent Bloodbath, As Usual

To go with our 2016 NFL predictions, FiveThirtyEight is previewing each division. Here, we look at the perpetual disaster that is the NFC East. At this time last year, my colleague Walt Hickey and I mocked Washington’s chances of winning the NFC East. Oops. Defying the 4 percent division odds that our Elo ratings gave […]

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The NFC East Will Be An Ugly, Magnificent Bloodbath, As Usual

To go with our 2016 NFL predictions, FiveThirtyEight is previewing each division. Here, we look at the perpetual disaster that is the NFC East. At this time last year, my colleague Walt Hickey and I mocked Washington’s chances of winning the NFC East. Oops. Defying the 4 percent division odds that our Elo ratings gave […]

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Chip Kelly’s Problem Wasn’t The Hurry-Up — It Was Everything Else

Here at FiveThirtyEight, we’ve watched Chip Kelly’s 2015 campaign as Philadelphia Eagles head coach/general manager with a combination of fascination and horror. His offseason roster-shuffling was spellbinding; the season itself, not so much. And on Tuesday night, it all came to a screeching halt with the news that Kelly had been fired in the wake […]

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