Sports – FiveThirtyEight — Poisson Distribution RSS



The Most Likely Scores in the World Cup Final

After one of the most astonishing score lines in the history of the World Cup on Tuesday — Germany 7, Brazil 1 — nothing that happens in Sunday’s World Cup final would be a total surprise. But we do have estimates of the most likely final scores for the game. Germany is a 63 percent […]

Continue reading



The Most Likely Scores in the World Cup Final

After one of the most astonishing score lines in the history of the World Cup on Tuesday — Germany 7, Brazil 1 — nothing that happens in Sunday’s World Cup final would be a total surprise. But we do have estimates of the most likely final scores for the game. Germany is a 63 percent […]

Continue reading