Something marvelous has happened to me. I was transported to the seventh heaven. There sat all the gods assembled. As a special dispensation, I was granted the favor of making a wish. “What do you want?” asked Mercury. … “Choose — but only one thing.” For a moment I was bewildered; then I addressed the […]
In last week’s column, I pointed out the importance of teams’ early records when trying to predict their playoff fates. This prompted a few skeptical tweets, like so: @skepticalsports Correlation is not causation: early results reveal team quality, they don’t create it. — Tim Dierks (@tdierks) September 11, 2014 This tweeter is obviously right. The […]
In last week’s column, I pointed out the importance of teams’ early records when trying to predict their playoff fates. This prompted a few skeptical tweets, like so: @skepticalsports Correlation is not causation: early results reveal team quality, they don’t create it. — Tim Dierks (@tdierks) September 11, 2014 This tweeter is obviously right. The […]
From a statistical standpoint, we know very little about football. Forty-six players on each team suit up per game, and most of them materially affect outcomes — yet, for most of them, only a handful of stats are recorded. The stats we do have are hopelessly entangled, as each player’s performance affects virtually every other’s. […]
From a statistical standpoint, we know very little about football. Forty-six players on each team suit up per game, and most of them materially affect outcomes — yet, for most of them, only a handful of stats are recorded. The stats we do have are hopelessly entangled, as each player’s performance affects virtually every other’s. […]
