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Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not.

President Trump’s first year has been marked by an almost complete lack of major policy wins. But that could come to an end this week. Congress is on the verge of passing a massive tax bill into law. It would be the first major legislative victory for Trump and the Republicans. And it would accomplish […]

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The Tax Bill Will Probably Pass Despite Republican Senators’ Rumblings

Congressional Republicans are likely to push through their tax policy legislation next week — but they should be getting a little nervous. Here’s the most likely scenario for the next few days, one that should comfort Republicans and President Trump. House and Senate Republicans already have the outlines of a compromise bill that would reconcile […]

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The GOP’s Corporate Tax Cut May Not Be As Big As It Looks

That was embarrassing. Gary Cohn, director of the National Economic Council and one of the “Big Six” Republicans behind President Trump’s tax rewrite, was on stage at The Wall Street Journal’s annual gathering of business executives in Washington last month defending the plan. He looked happy to be there. Both the House and the Senate […]

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Politics Podcast: Will Taxes Be A Pyrrhic Victory For The GOP?

The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast team discusses the policy and political implications of the GOP’s tax policy overhaul, aimed at dramatically cutting corporate taxes. The team also follows up on the fallout from former Trump national security adviser Michael Flynn’s decision to plead guilty to lying to the FBI about his contacts with Russia. You can […]

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The GOP Takes A Big Step Toward Passing A Big Policy Goal

Friday was really bad for the Republican Party in that President Trump’s one-time national security adviser Michael Flynn pled guilty to lying to the FBI and there are indications that he might testify to politically damaging and possibly illegal actions by Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner and maybe even the president himself. But Friday (and early […]

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