The Patriots won again; Tony Romo and the Cowboys prevailed in another last-minute comeback; and Philip Rivers threw for another thousand yards — by historical standards, Week 1 of the 2015 NFL season didn’t offer much in the way of surprises. According to our Elo power ratings, 75 percent of this year’s season-openers were won […]
The Patriots won again; Tony Romo and the Cowboys prevailed in another last-minute comeback; and Philip Rivers threw for another thousand yards — by historical standards, Week 1 of the 2015 NFL season didn’t offer much in the way of surprises. According to our Elo power ratings, 75 percent of this year’s season-openers were won […]
In preparation for the 2015 NFL season, FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight division previews, each highlighting the numbers that may influence a team’s performance (including projections and rankings based on ESPN’s preseason Football Power Index). Today we turn to the AFC South — perhaps the most imbalanced division in football. Andrew Luck’s Colts […]
In preparation for the 2015 NFL season, FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight division previews, each highlighting the numbers that may influence a team’s performance (including projections and rankings based on ESPN’s preseason Football Power Index). Today we turn to the AFC South — perhaps the most imbalanced division in football. Andrew Luck’s Colts […]
With just one week remaining in the NFL regular season, the playoff implications are fairly straightforward, and running thousands of simulations of Week 17 outcomes may seem like computational overkill. But the playoff field is far from settled, particularly the seeding, so a simulation model can still be helpful in sorting out the probable from […]
