Last spring, FiveThirtyEight commissioned a SurveyMonkey poll that aimed to glean the views of voters who cast their ballots for President Trump but did so unenthusiastically. We called them “reluctant” Trump voters; they were crucial in Trump’s victory, and we’ve been keeping tabs on this voter demographic over the year, including a new survey conducted […]
Who still works for President Trump? Perhaps more importantly, who still has real power in the administration? Last year, I described seven wings of the Trump administration, grouping staff with similar backgrounds or policy goals, along with an eighth bloc of figures not clearly aligned with any one faction. More than a year into the […]
Lots of people have left President Trump’s White House. Those departures never seemed likely to have a real impact on policy. Most of them didn’t appear to tell us something larger about what was going on within the administration, beyond it being chaotic. But the resignation on Tuesday of National Economic Council Director Gary Cohn, […]
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. micah (Micah Cohen, politics editor): Our question for today: Why do Americans hate/distrust the press so much? I’m thinking we’ll break this down into three parts: Who hates what? What do we know about which groups of Americans distrust which media outlets/types? […]
Things are about to get exciting again for election junkies. Next week, we’ll be treated to the first congressional election since December’s contest for one of Alabama’s U.S. Senate seats: a special election in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District. And another Democratic upset could be in the works: Polls show a tight race in this very […]