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Skeptical Football: Dynasties, Perfect Kickers And A Weird NFL Rule

In last week’s column, I discussed why Peyton Manning’s comeback record is more impressive from a statistical standpoint than Tom Brady’s. Some people took issue with this — many Brady fans, of course, but also some disinterested parties who objected to using a binomial test to make a comparison between two above-average quarterbacks. And then, […]

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Skeptical Football: Dynasties, Perfect Kickers And A Weird NFL Rule

In last week’s column, I discussed why Peyton Manning’s comeback record is more impressive from a statistical standpoint than Tom Brady’s. Some people took issue with this — many Brady fans, of course, but also some disinterested parties who objected to using a binomial test to make a comparison between two above-average quarterbacks. And then, […]

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In The Trenches: The Dolphins’ Pass Rush Overwhelmed The Patriots

The New England Patriots had their first Week 1 loss since 2003 on Sunday, falling 33-20 to the Miami Dolphins in South Florida. There were a number of areas in which the Patriots struggled, but the biggest was probably pass protection — quarterback Tom Brady was sacked four times, hit on seven occasions and forced […]

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2014 NFL Preview: The Patriotic AFC East

FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight NFL previews, one division at a time, to highlight the numbers that may influence each team’s season. America’s favorite weekly soap opera is about to begin; get prepped. New England Patriots Expected wins (using implied power ratings from Las Vegas point spreads): 9.5 Playoff probability: 62 percent (49 […]

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