Sports – FiveThirtyEight — U.S. Open RSS

We’re forecasting the U.S. Open using a modified version of Elo, a tool that was originally developed for chess but that FiveThirtyEight often uses to generate power ratings and make predictions in sports that consist of head-to-head matches between individuals or teams. Elo is particularly well-suited for evaluating tennis players, and we’ve used it before […]

We’re forecasting the U.S. Open using a modified version of Elo, a tool that was originally developed for chess but that FiveThirtyEight often uses to generate power ratings and make predictions in sports that consist of head-to-head matches between individuals or teams. Elo is particularly well-suited for evaluating tennis players, and we’ve used it before […]

After Roberta Vinci, the No. 43 ranked player in the world, defeated No. 1 Serena Williams in the U.S. Open semifinals on Friday, someone asked Vinci if she remembered a bigger upset in women’s tennis. She answered, “No. Just today.” We took a more quantitative approach and arrived at the same answer. Vinci’s victory was […]

After Roberta Vinci, the No. 43 ranked player in the world, defeated No. 1 Serena Williams in the U.S. Open semifinals on Friday, someone asked Vinci if she remembered a bigger upset in women’s tennis. She answered, “No. Just today.” We took a more quantitative approach and arrived at the same answer. Vinci’s victory was […]