FiveThirtyEight’s NFL predictions currently give the Carolina Panthers a less than 1 percent chance of making the playoffs. In the video above, Reuben Fischer-Baum walks us through the unlikely scenario that would allow the 6-8 Panthers to squeak into the playoffs as an NFC wild-card team.
You’re reading Back of the Envelope, an experiment that aims to bring shorter, quicker content to FiveThirtyEight. All postseason, FiveThirtyEight’s MLB projections have had a lot of doubts about the Cleveland Indians — our forecast didn’t even think they would make it out of the division series. In the video above, Neil Paine explores the […]
You’re reading Back of the Envelope, an experiment that aims to bring shorter, quicker content to FiveThirtyEight. All postseason, FiveThirtyEight’s MLB projections have had a lot of doubts about the Cleveland Indians — our forecast didn’t even think they would make it out of the division series. In the video above, Neil Paine explores the […]
In 1999, college football superstar Ricky Williams — represented by rapper Master P’s No Limit Sports — signed one of the most infamous contracts in NFL history. Williams received a large signing bonus and a minimum salary, with the rest of the contract value tied to extremely aggressive, maybe unachievable, performance incentives. How did this […]
A 13-year-old in Illinois. A 47-year-old English woman. A 70-year-old Vegas oddsmaker. At first blush, there isn’t much linking them. But last year, all three were among the most successful March Madness prognosticators. That’s where the similarities end. With methods ranging from gut instinct to computational learning theory, these three characters demonstrate just how wide […]
