New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Week 18 Odds, Plays and Insights


Check out odds, plays and more for the New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Week 18 matchup on January 9, 2022.

Nov 28, 2021; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Dolphins running back Myles Gaskin (37) celebrates with Miami Dolphins guard Robert Hunt (68) after scoring a touchdown against the Carolina Panthers during the third period at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

The New England Patriots (10-6) have an AFC East matchup in Week 18 against the Miami Dolphins (8-8).

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Odds for Patriots vs. Dolphins

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Over/under insights

  • New England and its opponents have gone over the current 40-point total in 10 of 16 games (62.5%) this season.
  • So far this season, 50% of Miami's games (8/16) have had more combined points than Sunday's total of 40.
  • The combined points per game average of the two teams, 46.7, is 6.7 points above Sunday's over/under.
  • These two squads combine to allow 38.7 points per game, 1.3 fewer than this contest's over/under.
  • The average total in Patriots games this season is 44.4, 4.4 points more than Sunday's total of 40.
  • In 2021, games involving the Dolphins have averaged a total of 44.1 points, 4.1 more than the set total in this contest.

Patriots stats and trends

  • New England has 10 wins against the spread in 16 games this season.
  • So far this season, the Patriots have been installed as favorites by a 6.5-point margin or more five times and are 4-1 ATS in those games.
  • New England has gone over the point total in 50% of its opportunities this year (eight times in 16 games with a set point total).
  • The Patriots put up 5.6 more points per game (27.4) than the Dolphins surrender (21.8).
  • New England is 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 overall in games when it puts up more than 21.8 points.
  • The Patriots collect only 16.9 more yards per game (351.8) than the Dolphins give up per outing (334.9).
  • When New England totals over 334.9 yards, the team is 5-4 against the spread and 6-3 overall.
  • The Patriots have turned the ball over 20 times this season, three fewer than the Dolphins have forced (23).
  • Click over to SISportsbook and find the latest spread, moneyline and total for New England's matchup with the Dolphins.

Dolphins stats and trends

  • In Miami's 16 games this year, it has nine wins against the spread.
  • This season, the Dolphins have just one against the spread win in three games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more.
  • Miami's games this season have gone over the total in six out of 16 opportunities (37.5%).
  • This season the Dolphins average just 2.4 more points per game (19.3) than the Patriots give up (16.9).
  • Miami is 9-4 against the spread and 8-5 overall in games when it scores more than 16.9 points.
  • The Dolphins collect just 4.0 fewer yards per game (307.6) than the Patriots allow per outing (311.6).
  • In games that Miami amasses more than 311.6 yards, the team is 5-2 against the spread and 4-3 overall.
  • This year the Dolphins have 26 turnovers, four fewer than the Patriots have takeaways (30).

Home and road insights

  • Miami is 5-3 against the spread, and 5-3 overall, at home this season.
  • At home, the Dolphins have one win ATS (1-1) as 6.5-point underdogs or greater.
  • In four of eight games at home this year, Miami has gone over the total.
  • Dolphins home games this season average 43.9 total points, 3.9 more than this outing's over/under (40).
  • In away games, New England is 6-1 overall and 5-2 against the spread.
  • The Patriots have one win ATS (1-1) as 6.5-point favorites or more away from home.
  • This season, in seven away games, New England has gone over the total twice.
  • The average point total in Patriots away games this season is 44.0 points, 4.0 more than this contest's over/under (40).

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