New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Week 18 Odds, Plays and Insights


Check out odds, plays and more for the New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Week 18 matchup on January 9, 2022.

Nov 28, 2021; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Dolphins running back Myles Gaskin (37) celebrates with Miami Dolphins guard Robert Hunt (68) after scoring a touchdown against the Carolina Panthers during the third period at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

The New England Patriots (10-6) and Miami Dolphins (8-8) will battle in a Week 18 NFL clash of AFC East opponents.

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Odds for Patriots vs. Dolphins

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Over/under insights

  • New England and its opponents have combined to score more than 40 points in 10 of 16 games this season.
  • Miami's games have gone over 40 points in eight of 16 chances this season.
  • The two teams combine to average 46.7 points per game, 6.7 more than the over/under in this contest.
  • The 38.7 combined points per game that these two squads have allowed this season are 1.3 fewer than the 40 over/under in this contest.
  • The Patriots and their opponents have scored an average of 44.4 points per game in 2021, 4.4 more than Sunday's total.
  • The 44.1 PPG average total in Dolphins games this season is 4.1 points more than this game's over/under.

Patriots stats and trends

  • New England has 10 wins against the spread in 16 games this season.
  • The Patriots are 5-1 ATS when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
  • New England's games this year have hit the over on eight of 16 set point totals (50%).
  • The Patriots put up 5.6 more points per game (27.4) than the Dolphins give up (21.8).
  • When New England scores more than 21.8 points, it is 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 overall.
  • The Patriots average only 16.9 more yards per game (351.8) than the Dolphins give up per contest (334.9).
  • In games that New England picks up more than 334.9 yards, the team is 5-4 against the spread and 6-3 overall.
  • This year, the Patriots have 20 turnovers, three fewer than the Dolphins have takeaways (23).
  • Click over to SISportsbook and find the latest spread, moneyline and total for New England's matchup with the Dolphins.

Dolphins stats and trends

  • Miami is 9-7-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Dolphins have been underdogs by 5.5 points or more three times this season and covered the spread once.
  • Miami's games this season have eclipsed the over/under in 37.5% of its opportunities (six times in 16 games with a set point total).
  • The Dolphins rack up 19.3 points per game, comparable to the 16.9 the Patriots allow.
  • Miami is 9-4 against the spread and 8-5 overall in games when it scores more than 16.9 points.
  • The Dolphins rack up just 4.0 fewer yards per game (307.6) than the Patriots allow per contest (311.6).
  • When Miami amasses over 311.6 yards, the team is 5-2 against the spread and 4-3 overall.
  • The Dolphins have 26 giveaways this season, while the Patriots have 30 takeaways.

Home and road insights

  • At home this year, Miami is 5-3 against the spread and 5-3 overall.
  • The Dolphins have one win ATS (1-1) as 5.5-point underdogs or greater at home.
  • In eight home games this year, Miami has hit the over four times.
  • Dolphins home games this season average 43.9 total points, 3.9 more than this matchup's over/under (40).
  • In away games, New England is 6-1 overall and 5-2 against the spread.
  • On the road, the Patriots have two wins ATS (2-1) as 5.5-point favorites or more.
  • In seven away games this season, New England has hit the over twice.
  • Patriots away games this season average 44.0 total points, 4.0 more than this contest's over/under (40).

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