Can Brooklyn win it all even if its stars barely see the court before the playoffs?
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Kevin Durant, James Harden, and Kyrie Irving still need to catch up to P.J. Tucker, John Wall, and Victor Oladipo—in minutes, that is. That’s how little the Nets’ star trio has actually played at the same time this season. KD, Kyrie, and Harden have appeared in only 186 minutes together across seven games in 2021, an existence so fleeting lineups that don’t even exist anymore still have a comfortable lead in minutes played. Brooklyn will already be attempting a particularly novel championship run this summer thanks to its “go ahead and score, we can get it back easily” defense. On top of that, the Nets are running an even more fascinating contender experiment: Can Brooklyn win it all even if its stars barely see the court before the playoffs?
Though the midseason trade for Harden certainly complicated factors, you would be hard pressed to find a title-worthy team whose most important players played such little time together before the postseason. Last year, for example, LeBron and Anthony Davis logged 1,455 minutes as a duo during a season more shortened than the current one. Despite injury problems and an aging roster, Durant played 1,442 minutes alongside Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson in his last run with the Warriors. Keep going back, whether it’s the 2016 Cavs, 2014 Spurs, or 2011 Mavs, and their best players were on the floor together a ton—and that’s after most of them played together for years before as well. Not only is Brooklyn not able to get its best players all healthy at the same time, but the Nets are also in the middle of a high-stakes season without any shared playoff experience amongst the current group (unless you want to count KD’s and Harden’s time with the Thunder.)
All of this is setup for one of the most intriguing title chases in recent history. Can a team, during a pandemic-affected season with nearly no practice time, finally roll out its stars for a sustained period of time only weeks before the playoffs and still be taken seriously as a contender? Right now, it’s hard to argue against the Nets. They’re the No. 1 seed in the East entering Friday despite all the injuries. Their offensive rating is the best in the NBA, and would be the best in league history if it stays at 117.5. And Durant, their best player, is back on the floor after appearing in only 19 games before Wednesday’s win against the Pelicans.
And yet, if Harden were to return on April 16 (the team said Tuesday he would be re-evaluated in 10 days) and him, Irving, and Durant played out the regular season, the trio would still have only appeared in 24 games together. If their current average time on the floor together from the seven games they have played holds, KD, Kyrie, and Harden would finish the season having played nearly 624 minutes together? Simply put, is that enough time?
Obviously, much of this has been out of the team’s control. Harden didn’t join the team until mid-January. Durant had two absences related to the COVID protocol. Irving took personal time away from the team earlier in the year. The Nets aren’t simply giving up on the regular season, even if they’re being more cautious with injuries than most teams. The coaching staff deserves credit for unlocking the utility of role players like Bruce Brown, a rim-running guard doing a better DeAndre Jordan impression than DeAndre Jordan, or Nic Claxton, an athletic big who could mean more to the team come playoff time than buyout vets like Blake Griffin and LaMarcus Aldridge.
Still, there’s something almost cynical about the Nets as much as it is thrilling. I don’t want to use my serious voice and ask “Is this good for the game?” But. low key, is this what the NBA wants? A supersquad created by guys who all left their previous teams in varying uncomfortable manners and are so talented they can seemingly run through their conference without even having to, you know, play together? Again, the NBA has always been star driven. And this isn’t a conversation about agency. But as the league and its power brokers lean more and more into the championship or bust mentality, I do think it’s fair to wonder if the logical endpoint is a bunch of superteams who almost punt entirely on the regular season. This isn’t necessarily a new scare (small markets may even believe this is already the case), but the Nets have perhaps come the closest to testing out this specific formula.
To a degree, this strategy has hit snags in the past. You only have to jump back to last season, when the Clippers raised eyebrows with their aggressive resting strategies for Kawhi Leonard and Paul Geroge, then came unglued in the playoffs as the Nuggets mounted pressure on them in the second round. (You could maybe throw the 2004 Lakers in here because of Karl Malone?) Other teams in the East may not have the top-end talent of the Nets, but they do have the sweat equity that comes from playoff defeats. The Bucks’ core of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton has been hardened by their postseason failures, and the same can be said for Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons. Those trials and tribulations don’t automatically make the Bucks and Sixers favorites, but in a season like this one, their years of collective ups and downs have to mean something, right?
Maybe this is much ado about nothing. Maybe this is ultimately a weird season and whatever the Nets end up doing, whether they raise a trophy or flame out, isn’t a referendum on team basketball. But there’s a shockingly decent chance Durant, Harden, and Irving see more time as a trio during the playoffs than the regular season, especially if they do end up making it to the Finals. If the strategy inadvertently ends up being successful, I wonder how long it would be until somebody else more deliberately tried to emulate it.
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