A superb finish to the 2019 season has fantasy fans wanting more from Los Angeles Dodgers SP Walker Buehler. SI Fantasy expert Shawn Childs breaks down his potential.
Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Walker Buehler met the high expectations coming from his 2018 campaign.
He finished with a 14-4 record with a 3.26 ERA & 1.04 WHIP over 182.1 innings and 215 Ks. Buehler pitched like his teammate, three-time Cy Young winner Clayton Kershaw because of an impressive walk rate (1.8) and strikeout rate (10.6). The next step in his development is staying on the mound. He lacks the length in games to be considered a workhorse ace, yet earning more innings in his appearances should be considered a given in this upcoming shortened season.
His 2019 began with two awful appearances in his first three starts (11 runs and 18 baserunners over 12 innings with 9 Ks). Yet by the end of June, Buehler lowered his ERA to 3.43 with 104 strikeouts over 97 innings. This was despite two other poor outings (12 runs and 22 baserunners over 10.2 innings).
In his final 14 appearances, he really started finding his groove. Buehler went 6-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 111 strikeouts over 85.1 innings. His average fastball (96.9) creates a big edge (four-seam – .209 BAA and sinker – .164 BAA). Buehler also used his slider (.196 BAA), curveball (.245 BAA), and cutter (.250 BAA) about the same percentage of the time. In 2019, he lost some of his ground ball rate (42.7 – 50.0 in 2018).
Buehler is available in the second round with an ADP of 17 and the fourth starting pitcher off the board. He’s one of the more promising young players in the game and pushing toward impact wins with a sub-2.50 ERA and 250 strikeouts over a full season (projects to 90 Ks in a 60-game season).