Before Thursday night’s game between the Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns, our Elo ratings predicted a 77 percent probability of a Bengals win. Cincinnati had the higher Elo rating before the game, 1568 to 1420, and it was playing at home, both of which fed a pregame point spread of -8.5 points in the Bengals’ […]
FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight NFL previews, one division at a time, to highlight the numbers that may influence each team’s season. America’s favorite weekly soap opera is about to begin; get prepped. Pittsburgh Steelers Expected wins (using implied power ratings from Las Vegas point spreads): 8.6 Playoff probability: 46 percent (30 percent […]
FiveThirtyEight is running a series of eight NFL previews, one division at a time, to highlight the numbers that may influence each team’s season. America’s favorite weekly soap opera is about to begin; get prepped. Pittsburgh Steelers Expected wins (using implied power ratings from Las Vegas point spreads): 8.6 Playoff probability: 46 percent (30 percent […]
During this NFL preseason, the media spotlight has shined brightest on the quarterback competition in Cleveland between incumbent Brian Hoyer and rookie Johnny Manziel. Although Browns coach Mike Pettine officially named Hoyer his starter Wednesday (a decision coming, not coincidentally, after Manziel made an obscene gesture toward the Washington Redskins’ bench during the Browns’ 24-23 […]
During this NFL preseason, the media spotlight has shined brightest on the quarterback competition in Cleveland between incumbent Brian Hoyer and rookie Johnny Manziel. Although Browns coach Mike Pettine officially named Hoyer his starter Wednesday (a decision coming, not coincidentally, after Manziel made an obscene gesture toward the Washington Redskins’ bench during the Browns’ 24-23 […]
