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Everyone, Make Three Political Predictions For 2018

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. micah (Micah Cohen, politics editor): It’s the first weekly politics chat of 2018!!! Happy New Year! As a New Year’s present, I got you all a game that will very likely make everyone look foolish by the end of 2018: I’m going […]

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Senator Mitt Romney?

The 2018 midterms got a bit more exciting on Tuesday. The longest serving Republican senator in American history, Orrin Hatch of Utah, announced that he would not run for re-election. His retirement is unlikely to provide Democrats with much of an opportunity to win another Senate seat, but the door is now wide open for […]

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What Harry Got Wrong In 2017

It’s almost 2018. For some, that means looking forward to the new year — what are the big political storylines to watch in the coming year? But I can’t do that until we finish one last end-of-year tradition: remembering all the times I screwed up! That’s right: It’s time for my annual mea culpa column. […]

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The Democrats’ Wave Could Turn Into A Flood

Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Today’s theme song is “Fame” from the television show “Fame.” Poll of the week A new CNN survey released this week showed Democrats leading Republicans by an astounding 56 percent to 38 percent on the generic congressional ballot. That’s an 18 percentage point lead among registered voters — […]

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