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The Russia Investigation Is Moving Really Freaking Fast

The investigation by special counsel Robert Mueller into Russian interference in the 2016 election took a significant step forward Friday, with the indictment of 13 Russian nationals and and three Russian organizations along with the announcement of a guilty plea from a California man for identity fraud. The indictment and guilty plea are important because […]

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Republicans Are Coming Home To Trump

Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll of the Week Gallup’s most recent weekly survey, conducted from Feb. 5 to 11, showed President Trump’s job approval rating among self-identified Republicans at 86 percent. It was the third straight week that his rating was above 85 percent — an improvement compared with 2017. Trump’s support […]

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The Path To A Bipartisan Immigration Bill

The key to resolving the impasse over immigration in Congress is getting the middle behind a deal — not the center of Congress overall, but rather the members of each party who are closest to the ideological center of their party. That won’t be easy. Looking at the bipartisan deal reached on the budget last […]

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Who Should Be More Freaked Out About The Economy — Trump Or The Democrats?

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. micah (Micah Cohen, politics editor): With the Dow nosedive on Monday, here’s our topic for today: Should President Trump be freaking out about the stock market, and/or should Democrats be freaking out about the economy? Let’s take those in order! clare.malone (Clare […]

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Could A Stock Market Downturn Tank Trump’s Approval Rating?

The stock market fell on Monday. A lot. After a roller-coaster day, the Dow Jones industrial average ended down 1,175 points, making for the largest single-day point decline in its history. In percentage terms, the decline isn’t nearly as bad — the 4.6 percent drop is well short of the record 22.6 percent sell-off that […]

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