Sports – FiveThirtyEight — March Madness RSS



2018 March Madness Predictions

FiveThirtyEight 2018 March Madness Predictions In-game win probabilities and chances of advancing, updating live. How this works | ESPN coverage Men Women 6:40 p.m. EDT | truTVSCOREWIN PROB. ‘ Radford16—67% ‘ Long Island16—33% 9:10 p.m. EDT | truTVSCOREWIN PROB. ‘ UCLA11—54% ‘ St. Bon.11—46% Round-by-round probabilities Bracket Table CHANCE OF REACHING ROUND TEAMREGIONPOWER RATING1ST2NDSWEET 16ELITE […]

Continue reading



How Our March Madness Predictions Work

Editor’s note: This article is adapted from previous articles about how our March Madness predictions work. We’ve been issuing probabilistic March Madness forecasts in some form since 2011, when FiveThirtyEight was just a couple of people writing for The New York Times. Initially, we focused on the men’s NCAA Tournament, publishing a table that gave […]

Continue reading



How Our March Madness Predictions Work

Editor’s note: This article is adapted from previous articles about how our March Madness predictions work. We’ve been issuing probabilistic March Madness forecasts in some form since 2011, when FiveThirtyEight was just a couple of people writing for The New York Times. Initially, we focused on the men’s NCAA Tournament, publishing a table that gave […]

Continue reading



UNC Played Ugly Enough To Win

It wasn’t pretty basketball, by any stretch. UNC and Gonzaga combined for a putrid 34.8 percent field goal percentage, 20 missed free throws and 44 total fouls in Monday’s men’s NCAA Tournament final. Legitimate comparisons were being made to the infamously bad 2011 title game in terms of unwatchability. But none of that mattered to […]

Continue reading



UNC Played Ugly Enough To Win

It wasn’t pretty basketball, by any stretch. UNC and Gonzaga combined for a putrid 34.8 percent field goal percentage, 20 missed free throws and 44 total fouls in Monday’s men’s NCAA Tournament final. Legitimate comparisons were being made to the infamously bad 2011 title game in terms of unwatchability. But none of that mattered to […]

Continue reading