Sports – FiveThirtyEight — March Madness RSS



When Picking a Bracket, It’s Easier to Be Accurate Than Skillful

So, how is your bracket after the first weekend of the NCAA men’s basketball tournament? Did you pick Mercer to win in the round of 64? Most didn’t, of course, including President Obama and anyone who based picks off the favorites in the FiveThirtyEight bracket. Only 3.3 percent of brackets in the ESPN Bracket Challenge […]

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When Picking a Bracket, It’s Easier to Be Accurate Than Skillful

So, how is your bracket after the first weekend of the NCAA men’s basketball tournament? Did you pick Mercer to win in the round of 64? Most didn’t, of course, including President Obama and anyone who based picks off the favorites in the FiveThirtyEight bracket. Only 3.3 percent of brackets in the ESPN Bracket Challenge […]

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The Gators Bite Back

On Friday, I noted that the Florida Gators had seen a decline in their chances of winning the NCAA men’s basketball tournament despite beating Albany in their opening game. What hurt the Gators’ prospects? They defeated No. 16 Albany by an underwhelming 12 points, and they drew a tough Round of 32 matchup against Pittsburgh […]

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The Gators Bite Back

On Friday, I noted that the Florida Gators had seen a decline in their chances of winning the NCAA men’s basketball tournament despite beating Albany in their opening game. What hurt the Gators’ prospects? They defeated No. 16 Albany by an underwhelming 12 points, and they drew a tough Round of 32 matchup against Pittsburgh […]

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Duke’s Lehigh Loss Was Bad, But Mercer Was Worser

Some upsets aren’t as big as the seed lines suggest; some are bigger. Two years ago, the No. 2-seeded Duke Blue Devils were upset by No. 15 Lehigh in the first round of the NCAA tournament. But Duke was the weakest No. 2 seed in 2012, according to the FiveThirtyEight projections that year, whereas Lehigh […]

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