Forecasts have always been a core part of FiveThirtyEight’s mission. They force us (and you) to think about the world probabilistically, rather than in absolutes. And making predictions — modeling a candidate’s chance of being elected or a team’s odds of making the playoffs — improves our understanding of the world by testing our knowledge […]
The world is abuzz with the news that LeBron James is opting out of his contract with the Miami Heat. There’s plenty of speculation about what this means and where he might decide to go, if anywhere, but we thought it might be interesting to take a look at our own history of guessing James’s […]
The world is abuzz with the news that LeBron James is opting out of his contract with the Miami Heat. There’s plenty of speculation about what this means and where he might decide to go, if anywhere, but we thought it might be interesting to take a look at our own history of guessing James’s […]
FiveThirtyEight relaunched less than two weeks ago. It’s been a heck of a learning experience. When you’re trying something new, it’s going to take some time to get everything right, and you’re going to get criticism from all quarters. There are two types of criticism that we’re most concerned with. First is criticism of our […]
FiveThirtyEight relaunched less than two weeks ago. It’s been a heck of a learning experience. When you’re trying something new, it’s going to take some time to get everything right, and you’re going to get criticism from all quarters. There are two types of criticism that we’re most concerned with. First is criticism of our […]
